Tuesday, November 5, 2024

More risk-averse and less entrepreneurial people grew up listening to stories wherein competitions and challenges are more likely to be harmful than beneficial.

See Folklore by Stelios Michalopoulos & Melanie Meng Xue. From The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Volume 136, Issue 4, November 2021. Excerpts:

"Abstract

Folklore is the collection of traditional beliefs, customs, and stories of a community passed through the generations by word of mouth. We introduce to economics a unique catalog of oral traditions spanning approximately 1,000 societies. After validating the catalog’s content by showing that the groups’ motifs reflect known geographic and social attributes, we present two sets of applications. First, we illustrate how to fill in the gaps and expand upon a group’s ethnographic record, focusing on political complexity, high gods, and trade. Second, we discuss how machine learning and human classification methods can help shed light on cultural traits, using gender roles, attitudes toward risk, and trust as examples. Societies with tales portraying men as dominant and women as submissive tend to relegate their women to subordinate positions in their communities, both historically and today. More risk-averse and less entrepreneurial people grew up listening to stories wherein competitions and challenges are more likely to be harmful than beneficial. Communities with low tolerance toward antisocial behavior, captured by the prevalence of tricksters being punished, are more trusting and prosperous today. These patterns hold across groups, countries, and second-generation immigrants. Overall, the results highlight the significance of folklore in cultural economics, calling for additional applications."

"Two broad observations motivate our study. First, narratives are central building blocks of our societies. We think in stories and explain the world by telling stories. Harari (2015), for example, identifies in the myths present in people’s collective imagination the roots of their successes and failures. Despite their central role in connecting actions to values and needs, economists have only recently turned to the study of narratives (e.g., Akerlof and Snower 2016; Shiller 2017).1

Second, during the past two decades, a burgeoning body of work exploring the cultural, historical, and institutional roots of comparative development highlights the significance of ethnic, linguistic, and religious groups (Michalopoulos and Papaioannou 2017; Nunn 2020). Much of this research, however, relies on valuable but incomplete ethnographic sources including the widely used Ethnographic Atlas (EA). Furthermore, the absence of proxies of historical norms renders inquiries into how attitudes change and why they persist intractable.2 Other weaknesses of the EA, the celebrated compilation of George Peter Murdock (1967), concern the uneven coverage of groups and attributes and measurement error."

"In this study, we leverage a group’s oral tradition to shed light on its cultural heritage and past social and economic structures. According to the Oxford Dictionary, folklore consists of the traditional beliefs, customs, and stories of a community, passed through the generations by word of mouth. This corpus is the subject of the discipline of folklore. We do three things to reveal the potential of integrating traditional narratives in the toolset of economists and political scientists interested in the origins of comparative development, gender norms, morality, psychology, and culture.

First, we introduce to economics a catalog of folklore that codes the distribution of thousands of motifs across 958 world societies. This database is the lifetime work of eminent anthropologist and folklorist Yuri Berezkin. A motif, according to the author, is an episode or an image found in the set of narratives recorded in an ethnolinguistic community. We validate the catalog’s content by establishing that images and episodes in a group’s oral tradition reflect salient features of its physical environment. For example, groups closer to earthquake-prone regions have a higher incidence of earthquake-related motifs, groups on fertile land have more crop-related images, and groups living close to rivers (or in colder climates) have more episodes reflecting their respective landscapes. Then we link the groups in Berezkin’s collection to the EA and show that the folklore-based measures of political complexity, family structure, and subsistence mode robustly correspond to EA’s analogous traits.

Second, we illustrate how to use a group’s oral tradition to fill in gaps in the ethnographic record, focusing on the degree of political complexity and the presence of high gods. In addition, we show how one can use folklore to quantify the extent of the preindustrial market economy, a key economic aspect that the EA does not cover.

Third, we present a method to uncover a group’s cultural heritage that involves reading and classifying motifs by multiple individuals.3 We focus on trust, risk-taking, and gender norms to illustrate our approach. To capture trust, we look at how tricksters (a common archetype in oral traditions) are depicted in the motifs, distinguishing between cases where their deceiving behavior is successful or punished. Regarding risk-taking, we look at how challenges and competitions are portrayed, differentiating between tragedies and victories. To measure gender norms, we classify the various stereotypical roles males and females play in the motifs.

These folklore-based measures of historical attitudes are robust predictors of contemporary values and economic choices. Folks who grew up listening to stories where tricksters often fail to deceive their victims are more trusting and prosperous today. Groups with oral traditions rich with heroes who successfully tackle challenging situations tend to display more appetite for risk and appear more entrepreneurial. Societies whose folklore portrays women as less dominant, more submissive, and more likely to engage in domestic affairs than men tend to relegate their women to inferior roles in their communities, both historically and today. These patterns hold across countries, second-generation immigrants, and ethnic groups, suggesting that folklore may be one of the vehicles by which norms are intergenerationally transmitted."