Wednesday, October 11, 2023

How Homer Foretold the Perils of Big Government

By: Vance Ginn. He is president of Ginn Economic Consulting and chief economist or senior fellow at multiple think tanks across the country. He served as the associate director for economic policy of the White House’s Office of Management and Budget, 2019-20.

After his post I have something on chess, Adam Smith and the movie "Jason and the Argonauts."

"In the tapestry of human history, one recurring thread stands out – the need for limited power in leadership.

As far back as the 7th century B.C., Homer explored this theme with remarkable insight in his timeless epic, "The Iliad." In modern-day America, where today’s leaders often assume too much power, Homer's lessons about the imperfections of inflated authority offer valuable insights. Recognizing the perils of excessive control, he creatively described what could be key to combating pressing issues today.

In "The Iliad," the gods of ancient Greece held dominion over justice and politics, not wholly unlike today's political leaders. Yet, Homer masterfully portrayed the limitations and imperfections of these gods, revealing that even the mightiest beings are not immune to human-like foibles.

These divine beings often acted out of self-interest. They were susceptible to basing actions on desires or petty grievances, making them appear more human than celestial. For instance, Zeus, the king of the gods, is reluctant to help the Trojans because of his disapproving wife, Hera, who strongly favors the Greeks. Zeus acts to maintain harmony, which is seen in Book IV of "The Iliad," when he contemplates helping the Trojans in battle but ultimately refrains from directly interfering. His hesitation reflects his complex role as the ruler of the gods, the upholder of fate, and his desire to manage the divine politics within Mount Olympus.

When not hoping to maintain marital harmony as Zeus did, the other gods often behaved out of concern for personal honor, which was highly valued in ancient Greece. The discord between Agamemnon and Achilles exemplifies this theme. 

As the leader of the Achaean forces, Agamemnon believed he deserved the highest prize, Briseis, and was willing to oppress Achilles, a crucial warrior in the Trojan battle, to claim her. Achilles, in turn, prioritized his claim to Briseis over aiding the war efforts. Both placed their honor and pursuit of what they believed was rightfully owed to them above the collective well-being, jeopardizing the battle’s victory.

In one instance, Apollo admitted that his intervention wasn't driven by compassion for the Trojans but by a desire to protect his favored hero, Hector. This acknowledgment underscores the willingness of the gods to manipulate events for personal gain as opposed to the greater good.

The parallel between the gods of "The Iliad" and contemporary leadership is their susceptibility to act in self-interest. While the gods may seem all-powerful, their actions often reveal a profound concern for their agendas and favored heroes.

Although not as strong a principle today, personal honor preservation reveals itself in modern leaders through rent-seeking behavior. We see elected officials sometimes prioritize their agendas, party interests, or re-election prospects over the welfare of their nations and citizens. Just as Zeus was more concerned with appeasing influential people, politicians may succumb to surrounding pressure, foregoing long-term goals of improving the country.  

Today's America faces numerous challenges, from mounting national debts to housing affordability, inflation, and stagnant wages. These issues often stem from government overreach and misguided policies, reminiscent of the interference of the gods in "The Iliad." It is crucial to recognize that unchecked government power can lead to a loss of personal liberties and economic prosperity.

In contemplating the lessons from Homer's "The Iliad," we discover that unchecked power carries inherent risks, whether in the hands of gods or modern leaders. Pursuing self-interest, personal glory, and re-election can overshadow the well-being of nations, leaving citizens to bear the consequences of misguided decisions. We must limit government power, embrace free markets, and prioritize the greater good derived from individual gain to mitigate these risks.

As the characters in Homer's epic grappled with the consequences of self-interested gods, we, too, must seek to promote paths that seek to empower the people and limit the government as our forefathers intended. 

By doing so, we can create a world where the lessons of "The Iliad" guide us toward better governance and a brighter future. In heeding these ancient warnings, we can navigate the complexities of contemporary leadership and secure a more prosperous future for all."

This reminded me of the movie "Jason and the Argonauts." Honor Blackman (Hera) and Niall MacGinnis (Zeus) are playing a board game with pieces that represent people, gods or creatures in the story. If they move a piece on the board, the real version of that piece appears on earth and takes action and becomes part of the story.

This picture is from IMDB


 

Here is a passage from The Theory of Moral Sentiments by Smith at the Library of Economics and Liberty. Smith emphasizes the arrogance and conceit of those who think they can arrange society any way they want. In a separate passage, Smith writes about how this can be dangerous (that follows this longer excerpt). First, Smith discusses the man of humanity and benevolence, then the man of system for contrast.  

"The man of system, on the contrary, is apt to be very wise in his own conceit; and is often so enamoured with the supposed beauty of his own ideal plan of government, that he cannot suffer the smallest deviation from any part of it. He goes on to establish it completely and in all its parts, without any regard either to the great interests, or to the strong prejudices which may oppose it. He seems to imagine that he can arrange the different members of a great society with as much ease as the hand arranges the different pieces upon a chess-board. He does not consider that the pieces upon the chess-board have no other principle of motion besides that which the hand impresses upon them; but that, in the great chess-board of human society, every single piece has a principle of motion of its own, altogether different from that which the legislature might chuse to impress upon it. If those two principles coincide and act in the same direction, the game of human society will go on easily and harmoniously, and is very likely to be happy and successful. If they are opposite or different, the game will go on miserably, and the society must be at all times in the highest degree of disorder."

Monday, October 9, 2023

London School of Economics Professor Mary Morgan says storytelling continues to play a key role in economic analysis today

See What is the role of storytelling in economics? Excerpt:

"Vignettes scattered through Adam Smith’s writing illuminate his arguments. Such thought experiments continue to play a key role in economic analysis today.

Economists are great storytellers. Their tales might be anecdotes of economic events that they have observed and which seem significant. More often, they are small, thoughtfully imagined stories about how the economic world works. Economists use these narratives to reason about why things happen in the way that they do – and perhaps what might happen next.

Where did this style of doing economic science come from? Well, maybe from Adam Smith, who is often seen as the father of the discipline."

She gives some examples from The Wealth of Nations, including his use of the the pin factory to demonstrate the value of the division of labor.

Monday, September 18, 2023

Is good business as much about storytelling as the stock market?

See The Rise of the M.B.A. Novelist: A novelist who worked at Google and Goldman Sachs says the next generation of writers may be toiling away in tech and finance companies by Cecilia Rabess. She is the author of the new novel “Everything’s Fine.” She previously worked as a data scientist at Google and as an associate at Goldman Sachs. Excerpts:

"Could business really be the new breeding ground for literary talent? Although this point is so obvious it may not seem worth mentioning, I’ll say it anyway: publishing is a business, a multibillion-dollar industry where art and commerce collide. It’s also an industry in which corporatization, conglomeration, the digital revolution, disintermediation, thinning margins, relational gatekeeping, the myth of meritocracy, private equitization, the price of paper, social media, social stratification, educational elitism and shorter attention spans have led to what writer Will Blythe has called “the death of literary fiction.”

No wonder stories of economic precarity and income inequality are so popular right now. Tales of late capitalist woe are trending, and stories of rich people behaving badly have never gone out of style. This year’s Pulitzer Prize in Fiction, for example, was awarded to Barbara Kingsolver’s “Demon Copperhead,” a story of institutional poverty in the American South, and Hernan Diaz’s “Trust,” about Wall Street during the Great Depression.

M.B.A.s have a front-row seat to the boardroom drama. Good business is as much about storytelling as the stock market, and while you generally won’t find a classroom of M.B.A. students dissecting the finer points of a short story, the business “case”—a popular pedagogical tool that enlists empathy to practice problem solving—is not too far off. These are stories about beset employees or executives and they usually go something like this: A man named John is staring out of an office park window contemplating widgets. Inevitably he finds himself in a best-of-bad-options type of situation. There’s a ticking clock. A red herring. Discussion questions at the end. Alice Munro the business case is not, but it is ethos, pathos and logos, all the essential elements of story, if not style.

There’s another kind of story that business school privileges: stories of failure. M.F.A.s certainly tolerate failure, but M.B.A.s celebrate it. M.F.A.s are inevitably comfortable with rejection, but M.B.A.s romanticize and even fetishize failure. Fail fast, fail often. Fail better. Fail forward. In business there is almost as much advice for how to fail as how to succeed. Which is, of course, helpful and necessary in an increasingly competitive publishing landscape."

"An M.F.A. may teach students how to lay their souls bare on the page, but an M.B.A. teaches students how to market, sell and serve their souls up on a platter for public consumption."

Thursday, June 1, 2023

Sell Me a Story

In marketing, it’s no longer about demographic segments, but about ‘tribes.’ What’s wrong with brands preaching a ‘gospel’ about values?

Steven Poole reviews the book For the Culture: The Power Behind What We Buy, What We Do, and Who We Want to Be by Marcus Collins. Excerpts:

"people drink a particular beer not only for its unique balance of hops and barley, but for what they believe the brand says about them.

"But what is culture, exactly? Mr. Collins calls it the operating system by which we live, and includes identity, shared language, social norms and cultural production—art, movies, fashion and branded products."

"we belong to “tribes” of shared beliefs and passions (skateboarders, say, or heavy-metal fans); many members of these tribes will gather in larger “congregations” (alternative-sports fans, festivalgoers). To these congregations, brands should preach a “gospel” about their own values. (It is ironic that many brands champion the value of nonconformity to persuade customers to adopt their uniform.) With this rhetorical scheme, the author continues the tradition of commerce borrowing the language of religious virtue."

"Some of Mr. Collins’s case studies illustrate win-win situations in which a surge in profits follows a socially positive campaign, as when Nike made the NFL quarterback Colin Kaepernick the star of a 2018 campaign with the tagline “Believe in something. Even if it means sacrificing everything.” Most endearing is the author’s account of some of his own marketing failures. Hired a few years ago to rejuvenate the soft drink Sprite—old tagline: “Obey your thirst”—his team made an ad with an updated slogan, “Only for the thirsty.” They had somehow overlooked that “thirsty” is now internet slang for being lustful or sex-starved. Twitter had a field day, and the ad was pulled within 24 hours. This, the author comments wryly, is a good example of failing to understand how cultural meanings have shifted."

"Those who associate with a brand’s values are more likely to buy from it, so brands should seek to “activate their tribes”—as if we don’t already have enough warring factions on social media and elsewhere."

"those who push culture forward and create new narratives for the rest of us—including the author’s beloved Jay-Z, the writers of Netflix’s “Stranger Things” and so forth—are more than herd animals. They are making something new via the mysterious process of creation. Perhaps the product is, after all, sometimes more important than the messaging."

Thursday, April 20, 2023

10 ways to improve your ads (with storytelling being a big part of it)

By Paul Zak. Excerpts:

"The most important thing you can do to sustain neurologic immersion is to go back to English 101 and always, always, build a narrative arc for your commercial. 

A montage of unconnected  scenes may seem like a good way to evoke emotional attachment, but our data show that with the montage approach, within 10 to 15 seconds, the brain "gets it" and there is little reason to spend the metabolic energy to continue to be immersed. Low immersion shows that the information is unimportant and will not be remembered.

On the flip side, more immersion means more sales - because the brain values and remembers the content. Your commercial has to grab and grow immersion to be successful. A dramatic arc that introduces characters who face a dilemma that they then resolve keeps the brain immersed and wanting more. The data shows that a complete story arc can be done in as little as 6 seconds, so you don't need Tolstoy to write your script - and we all know you usually have 15 to 30 seconds to get your message across. 

Regardless of the time you have, you do need to have product-story congruence.  That is, the commercial must weave the product into the dramatic arc in a natural way. Many commercials tell wonderful stories and then just drop a "buy now"at the end. This does not cut it. Tell a story and make your product part of the plot."

"The story and those who embody it need to express genuine emotions that are absorbed by viewers and get them to care about your product as much or more than the many other things they care about. Solid narrative and writing, good actors and voiceover artists, and thoughtful directors are all necessary to create a hit commercial."

"What does drive brand awareness and sales? High and sustained immersion.  For this, you need a story.  Including a family who expresses emotions in a story is the way to generate an emotional "wanting" for the same experience. "

"Build a story around a pet and you can sustain immersion." "The pet, product, and story need to be congruent so that the puppy or kitty or pony is tied to the product. This is how to turn "awws" into dollars." 

"stories rule and unrelated quick cuts drool. Client data show that nostalgic ads without a story do not sustain immersion and have little impact on sales. 

Nostalgic stories, yes. Nostalgia because you think it looks pretty, no."

Monday, April 10, 2023

Farewells Masquerade As ‘New Adventures’

See Is That Co-Worker Really ‘Off to a New Adventure’? Almost every goodbye message from a soon to be former colleague sounds like the start of something exciting. Don’t buy it by Callum Borchers of The WSJ. Excerpts:

"The message just landed in your inbox or LinkedIn feed with all the cheer of a holiday greeting card:

I’m leaving to pursue new opportunities!

I’m excited for my next adventure!!

Can’t share the details yet, but stay tuned!!!

Sometimes, there really is something cool in the works, and the exit was purely voluntary. Often, the situation is a bit more complicated. 

People who’ve been pushed out—or need a change after burning out or hitting a ceiling—seldom admit it up front. And the old saw about spending more time with family…well, didn’t we all do plenty of that during the pandemic everything-at-home era? Better to frame the end of a job as a triumph, or at least a step in the journey toward self-fulfillment.

So many of us want our jobs to reflect a sense of great purpose, which can make it unbearable to suggest that change is anything less than destiny calling.

“It corresponds to how much people now talk about following your passion and being authentic to your true self,” says Adam Galinsky, a professor of leadership and ethics at Columbia Business School. 

Vague, euphemistic announcements about chief executive officers’ departures are practically an art form. Walt Disney Co. recently thanked Bob Chapek for his leadership throughout the pandemic and said he had stepped down as CEO. There was no explanation other than that the “uniquely situated” Robert Iger was returning to lead the company. A press release didn’t mention that Disney executives and investors had alerted the board of directors to concerns about Mr. Chapek’s management. 

Salesforce Inc. co-CEO Bret Taylor said a couple of weeks ago in a press release that he wants to “return to my entrepreneurial roots” and asserted that now—barely a year after his appointment—is the time to do just that. The abrupt career shift is hard to square with the company’s original plan for Mr. Taylor to help lead its next chapter, not to mention the tensions that had been growing between him and Salesforce co-founder (and now solo CEO) Marc Benioff, according to people familiar with the executives. 

We nonbosses are carefully managing our farewell messages too, as if we were running investor relations at Me Inc. Controlling the narrative can feel especially important when many businesses are cutting staff, and as economists are warning of a looming recession.

“Nobody wants to appear injured in the marketplace,” or like damaged goods,  says Dale Gibbons, a management consultant in Louisville, Ky."

"CEOs and corporations, which portray every transition as smooth and well-planned"

"many professional breakups are recast as the beginnings of thrilling new exploits."